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Forecasting demand of elective surgery at hospital department level to support production planning

Anders Plantin (Institutionen för teknikens ekonomi och organisation, Logistik och transport) ; Mats I. Johansson (Institutionen för teknikens ekonomi och organisation, Logistik och transport)
Proceedings of the 20th EurOMA conference, Dublin, June 7-12, 2013 (2013)
[Konferensbidrag, refereegranskat]

The forecasting process of future demand is a critical process for healthcare organisations adapting to modern production planning in order to allocate scarce resources more effectively and meet patients’ expectations on availability. This paper explores the conditions for, and the requirements of an effective forecasting process for non-emergency patient demand at the hospital department level. Results show that simple and intuitive quantitative forecasting methods are able to predict demand satisfactorily for supporting the master planning process, but should be combined with qualitative judgements to detect rapid changes in demand, e.g. coming from new medical procedures and policies.

Nyckelord: Healthcare planning, demand forecasting, surgery department

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Denna post skapades 2013-09-18. Senast ändrad 2014-09-17.
CPL Pubid: 183562


Institutioner (Chalmers)

Institutionen för teknikens ekonomi och organisation, Logistik och transport (2005-2016)


Industriell organisation, administration och ekonomi

Chalmers infrastruktur