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Medium-term Electricity Price Forecasting

Shahab Shariat Torbaghan ; Amir Motamedi ; Hamidreza Zareipour ; Tuan Le (Institutionen för energi och miljö, Elteknik)
North American Power Symposium (NAPS) 2012, 9-11 Sept. 2012, IL, USA (2012)
[Konferensbidrag, refereegranskat]

-Medium-term price forecasting plays an impor­tant role in electricity markets. Obtaining reasonably accurate medium-term electricity price predictions is critical in many applications, such as maintenance scheduling, generation ex­pansion planning, and bilateral contracting. Medium-term price forecasting is a complex task because of the long forecasting horizon, dependence of medium-term electricity prices to various variables, and limited availability of explanatory data. In this paper, different aspects of a medium-term electricity price fore­casting are discussed, and several data-driven 12-month-ahead approaches are developed. The presented approaches are applied to NordPool and the Ontario electricity market to examine their performance and effectiveness.

Nyckelord: Electricity markets, medium-term forecasting, price forecasting



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Denna post skapades 2013-01-07. Senast ändrad 2016-11-29.
CPL Pubid: 169345

 

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Institutioner (Chalmers)

Institutionen för energi och miljö, Elteknik (2005-2017)

Ämnesområden

Energi
Elkraftteknik

Chalmers infrastruktur