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Probabilistic risk assessment for integrating survivability and safety measures on naval ships

Hans Liwång (Institutionen för sjöfart och marin teknik, Marine Design) ; Jonas Ringsberg (Institutionen för sjöfart och marin teknik, Marine Design) ; M. Norsell
International Journal of Maritime Engineering (1479-8751). Vol. 154 (2012), p. A21-A30.
[Artikel, refereegranskad vetenskaplig]

Conflicts of today are characterized by both traditional and irregular tactics and by non-state actors making innovative use of modern technologies. These conditions set new demands on naval ships. The aim of this investigation is to describe how, based on probabilistic risk assessment, the concept of operation for a naval ship can be turned into safety scenarios to be used in the evaluation of risk. In this investigation, civilian state-of-the-art methods for probabilistic risk assessment are merged with the specific demands of naval ships. Relevant aspects of safety culture, codes, regulations and rules are analysed with respect to requirements on safety scenarios, and military operational research with respect to modelling military systems. The results show that the scenarios must have calculable probability and must be adapted to the vessel in question. Results from simulations show that modelling operational tasks is one way to support experts in the definition of safety scenarios.

Nyckelord: Risk analysis, military-technology, naval ships, safety, security, scenario



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Denna post skapades 2012-05-24. Senast ändrad 2017-06-28.
CPL Pubid: 158014

 

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Institutioner (Chalmers)

Institutionen för sjöfart och marin teknik, Marine Design (2012-2014)

Ämnesområden

Transport
Hållbar utveckling
Övrig annan teknik

Chalmers infrastruktur

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